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US-Australia airfares should decrease in mid-2009

Travel Forums Australia / New Zealand & The Pacific US-Australia airfares should decrease in mid-2009

1. Posted by Daawgon (Travel Guru 1993 posts) 7y

I was just reading about all the new competition on this route over on e-travel blackboard. V Australia (Virgin Group) and the world's largest, Delta, enter the market then and it looks like a bloodbath. Air New Zealand reports that it's already hurting on long haul routes. Maybe we should all plan on seeing Down Under soon again?

2. Posted by Sander (Moderator 4833 posts) 7y

It's about time; that particular route has been seriously overpriced for a long time. Coupled with the weak Australian dollar and strong American dollar, that should bring a lot of Americans down to Australia!

3. Posted by rys (Budding Member 21 posts) 7y

I hope so! I'd love to find a ticket for less than $1k...

4. Posted by nouse4name (Budding Member 11 posts) 7y

Just out of curiosity I checked fares with V Australia roundtrip from LAX to SYD from May-Oct and the cheapest I found was $900 USD including taxes! And if the price of oil keeps going down, the $1500+ fares should be a thing of the past. I don't know, may be that's wishful thinking.

5. Posted by divaboy (Full Member 75 posts) 7y

Most airlines by fuel at a contracted price for say 9 months , so immediate prices won't necessarily effect customers for a while yet :(

6. Posted by kevandshan (Full Member 142 posts) 7y

I would lock in any fare you can now. Most forecasters are predicting that 2009 will be bad (and rightly so), however the oil trading market is not controlled by demand (rather traders). Yes, the price is low (below manufacturing cost) but the oil producing nations are reducing greatly the supply of oil which will in turn keep the price where they want it.
The airlines will no doubt have a price war (V Australia) return at $1100 inc taxes is the cheapest I've seen in 10 years.
While 2009 will be financially tough, the price of oil will increase early to mid 2009...so unfortunately those who wait too long will miss out on cheap fares. Having said that, the actuall cost of oil doesn't much bearing on the overall airfare cost. Competition is where you'll get the best deals...and yeah, that Pacific route has been a ripoff for years...about time it was opened up.
I would watch prices in March -April...this will be the best time to purchase.

7. Posted by Daawgon (Travel Guru 1993 posts) 7y

Air New Zealand currently has a sale on for W. Coast to NZ + Australia for less than $900. RT economy. I don't know the travel dates, but tickets must be purchased by Jan 19th.

8. Posted by rys (Budding Member 21 posts) 7y

Daawgon, that's one hell of a deal. It says for travel between January and May of this year. You can go to NZ first, then go to Australia, or you can go to Australia, and go to NZ. Pretty awesome!

...too bad I'm not going until November. I should probably buy ASAP though (March/April, as I return February) as ticket prices tend to go up here in the summer anyway?

Traditionally, I've noticed airfare in late August/September is cheaper than the rest of the year... but I suppose a recession could mess all of that up.